Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.003130 0.003280 0.003434 0.003602 0.003782 0.003969 0.004177
2025-05-11 0.002851 0.003074 0.003310 0.003580 0.003882 0.004208 0.004591
2025-05-18 0.002668 0.002931 0.003218 0.003555 0.003941 0.004374 0.004897
2025-05-25 0.002578 0.002877 0.003210 0.003610 0.004081 0.004622 0.005297
2025-06-01 0.002468 0.002789 0.003153 0.003599 0.004135 0.004766 0.005572
2025-06-08 0.002364 0.002701 0.003088 0.003570 0.004161 0.004871 0.005800
2025-06-15 0.002257 0.002603 0.003005 0.003514 0.004148 0.004922 0.005956
2025-06-22 0.002167 0.002519 0.002935 0.003467 0.004140 0.004976 0.006115
2025-06-29 0.002109 0.002473 0.002906 0.003469 0.004191 0.005104 0.006372
2025-07-06 0.002006 0.002367 0.002801 0.003369 0.004107 0.005051 0.006383
2025-07-13 0.001960 0.002329 0.002778 0.003372 0.004154 0.005170 0.006629
2025-07-20 0.001936 0.002318 0.002786 0.003415 0.004253 0.005361 0.006983
2025-07-27 0.001878 0.002261 0.002736 0.003380 0.004249 0.005412 0.007144
2025-08-03 0.001828 0.002215 0.002698 0.003359 0.004262 0.005488 0.007343
2025-08-10 0.001781 0.002170 0.002659 0.003335 0.004270 0.005554 0.007530
2025-08-17 0.001767 0.002167 0.002676 0.003386 0.004381 0.005770 0.007949
2025-08-24 0.001729 0.002132 0.002648 0.003376 0.004405 0.005862 0.008183
2025-08-31 0.001688 0.002091 0.002611 0.003350 0.004406 0.005917 0.008362
2025-09-07 0.001639 0.002038 0.002557 0.003298 0.004367 0.005913 0.008445
2025-09-14 0.001595 0.001992 0.002509 0.003255 0.004339 0.005922 0.008550
2025-09-21 0.001570 0.001969 0.002494 0.003257 0.004376 0.006031 0.008819
2025-09-28 0.001512 0.001901 0.002415 0.003165 0.004272 0.005919 0.008718
2025-10-05 0.001490 0.001882 0.002403 0.003168 0.004307 0.006023 0.008985